2018 Q3 Muskoka Real Estate Market Update



October 3, 2018

Muskoka Market Update – 3rd Quarter Results

Unit sales for Muskoka cottages and homes are down, but average Muskoka price has increased. There’s obviously still a high demand, but buyers are being cautious.

NUMBER OF SOLD HOMES AND AVERAGE PRICE YTD

Residential Unit Sales

Number of Homes Sold YTD

2017 – 821
2018 – 589
% Chg – 28.3%

Residential Average Sale Price

Muskoka average residential price

Average Sale Price of Muskoka Homes YTD

Bracebridge – $372,764

Gravenhurst – $308,249

Huntsville – $381,417

NUMBER OF SOLD COTTAGES AND AVERAGE PRICE YTD

Cottage Unit Sales

muskoka cottage unit sales

Number of Cottages Sold YTD

2017 – 679
2018 – 529
% Chg – Dn 22%

Cottage Average Sale Price

average muskoka cottage price

Average Sale Price of Muskoka Cottages YTD

2017 – $969,087

2018 – $986,840

% Chg – Up 1.83%

BUYER OR SELLERS MARKET?

The cottage and residential market is softening. Lower unit sales in 2018 can be attributed to a few factors — start of the selling season with less than ideal weather, fewer properties coming to market and overpriced listings. Sellers are increasing the list price of their properties more than the average price is increasing, causing the market to slow. The market is still healthy, as indicated with the sale to list ratio below, but sellers beware of overpricing. We have many buyers ready and willing to purchase a Muskoka cottage or home, but reluctant at current inflated prices. The other strong factor is the lower consumer confidence evident this year as a result of banks stress test and unknown political climate and how that will affect industry and manufacturing in Canada.

2017
TYPE OF MARKET

Cottage & Residential Combined
#Sold ÷ #Listed = Type of Market
935 Sold ÷ 1491 Listed = 63%

2018
TYPE OF MARKET YTD

Cottage & Residential Combined
#Sold ÷ #Listed = Type of Market
1129 Sold ÷ 1889 Listed = 60%

2018 Cottage Sold to List Ratio

TYPE OF COTTAGE MARKET YTD

#Sold ÷ #Listed = Type of Market
529 Sold ÷ 985 Listed = 54%

2018 Residential Sold to List Ratio

muskoka cottage sale to list ratio

TYPE OF RESIDENTIAL MARKET

#Sold ÷ #Listed = Type of Market
589 Sold ÷ 894 Listed = 66%

BUYERS MARKET (< 35%)

The supply of homes on the market exceeds demand.

BALANCED MARKET (35%-55%)

The number of homes on the market is equal to the demand or number of buyers.

SELLERS MARKET (> 55%)

The number of buyer’s wanting homes exceeds the supply or number of homes on the market.

SALES VOLUME YTD

NUMBER OF NEW LISTINGS YTD

Cottage YTD
2017 – $647,755,668
2018 – $521,051,744

% Chg – Dn 19.6%

Residential YTD
2017 – $269,493,468
2018 – $208,188,642

% Chg – Dn 22.7%

Cottage YTD
2017 – 1,190
2018 – 985

% Chg – Dn 17.2%

Residential YTD
2017 – 1,086
2018 – 894

% Chg – Dn 17.7%

DAYS ON MARKET YTD

SOLD TO LIST PRICE RATIO YTD

Cottage YTD
2017 – 64
2018 – 60

% Chg – Dn 6.3%

Residential YTD
2017 – 40
2018 – 41

% Chg – Up 2.5%

Cottage YTD
2017 – 97%
2018 – 96.4%

Residential YTD
2017 – 98.7%
2018 – 98.3%

Data collected from The Lakeland Association of Realtor. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of information contained in these calculations, Harvey Kalles Real Estate Ltd., and its representatives provide no representation, or warranty, regarding the accuracy, completeness or correctness of information provided.